UPDATE: That GOP/Gay/DOUBLED stuff... maybe not so much

Here is some interesting info that might put some fears to rest. The sample size of this Exit Poll claiming that 1/3 of gays vote GOP, was small.

See here:

It's not clear how widespread the trend is. Hunter College Professor Ken Sherrill, who studies the gay electorate, tells The Upshot that the sample size was small, so the magnitude of gays' shift toward the GOP may be less pronounced than it appears. (About 110 respondents of the 3,800 included in the cable exit polls identified as gay, lesbian or bisexual, representing about 3 percent of all voters.)

He also thinks the shift is more related to the economic downturn than to dissatisfaction with the pace of gay-rights legislation, since there was no reason for voters to believe GOP candidates would be more amenable than Democrats to LGBT issues such as gay marriage or ending the military ban on openly gay service.


"There's no good reason to suggest that the shift was greater than the shift in the electorate as a whole," Sherrill said. "Given there is every reason to believe that LGB voters were as affected or more affected by the economic downturn, it's not surprising to see a shift."

(UPDATE: After reviewing the full data, Sherrill says there was a disproportionate drop in Democratic support among LGB voters compared to Hispanic, black, and young voters. Though the sample size is still very small and thus there's a large margin of error, Sherrill now says the drop may be attributed to "dissatisfaction with the pace of change on LGB rights over the past two years.")

Even with the shift, gay voters remain among the top five demographic groups that vote Democratic.

So, this is kind of better.

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