Monday, October 8, 2012

Nate Silver brings a Harsh Reality to Romney


Nate Silver drops some knowledge about the recent polls and Romney's bounce. As you can see there were very little change.

Nate says that the debate helped Romney, but not in a way he probably hoped:
However, the fact that Mr. Romney did not make further gains in the polls on Sunday can be read as mildly disappointing for him. The way tracking polls work is to replace the oldest day of interviews with fresh interviews conducted the previous day. In the Sunday release of the polls, this meant that interviews from Saturday were replacing a day of interviewing from before the debate. The fact that the Saturday interviews that entered the polls were roughly as strong for Mr. Obama as the predebate day of interviews that they displaced is an encouraging sign for Mr. Obama — at least as compared with most of the polling news that he has received since the debate.
This is getting tight, folks.

source

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Unless Obama screws up, and I mean by not looking interested during the next debate, he's got this.

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Viktor is a small town southern boy living in Los Angeles. You can find him on Twitter, writing about pop culture, politics, and comics. He’s the creator of the graphic novel StrangeLore and currently getting back into screenwriting.